Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.492710 0.562105 0.634430 0.715152 0.802449 0.893739 0.996152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.415656 0.515855 0.625852 0.754448 0.899561 1.057199 1.240338
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.337558 0.455618 0.591917 0.758250 0.953157 1.171879 1.433435
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.294950 0.429429 0.591706 0.797025 1.045092 1.330670 1.679810
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.246480 0.388771 0.568487 0.804148 1.097344 1.443011 1.874218
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.206971 0.353681 0.547397 0.810075 1.145700 1.549828 2.062859
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.179562 0.330827 0.538853 0.829407 1.209234 1.674765 2.274340
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.158611 0.313984 0.535911 0.854257 1.278867 1.807302 2.496303
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.140483 0.298623 0.532948 0.877604 1.345869 1.936740 2.715626
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.118135 0.273128 0.512689 0.875012 1.377275 2.020487 2.878240
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.103159 0.257502 0.505169 0.888850 1.429795 2.131086 3.075193
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.086663 0.236421 0.487108 0.885789 1.458153 2.209825 3.231811
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.068111 0.208356 0.455815 0.861966 1.457575 2.251523 3.343225
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059059 0.197366 0.451197 0.877378 1.511794 2.366276 3.550347
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047005 0.177262 0.429048 0.864230 1.524285 2.424717 3.684304
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042666 0.173793 0.435509 0.895770 1.601584 2.571596 3.935912
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.035200 0.160867 0.423567 0.896966 1.634048 2.657347 4.107274
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028987 0.149370 0.412979 0.899394 1.667793 2.744787 4.281344
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025138 0.143366 0.412223 0.917696 1.725245 2.865450 4.500777
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022337 0.139703 0.415622 0.942779 1.793052 3.001008 4.741146
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019760 0.135981 0.418476 0.966785 1.859401 3.135063 4.980496
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.015665 0.125406 0.406001 0.963464 1.883289 3.209133 5.138778
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.013241 0.119964 0.403841 0.977877 1.934619 3.322432 5.351251